Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.310579 0.417556 0.542040 0.695309 0.876644 1.082147 1.330391
2025-11-30 0.184567 0.315910 0.492830 0.737806 1.057532 1.450478 1.959385
2025-12-07 0.106932 0.238972 0.445541 0.764112 1.215691 1.807180 2.613884
2025-12-14 0.058334 0.177806 0.397012 0.771797 1.343398 2.133064 3.255570
2025-12-21 0.028234 0.127110 0.344250 0.756265 1.429355 2.404509 3.840919
2025-12-28 0.013939 0.097139 0.315191 0.768801 1.553146 2.733021 4.519081
2026-01-04 0.005871 0.072449 0.284928 0.769687 1.654100 3.030814 5.165914
2026-01-11 0.001628 0.049727 0.246158 0.743070 1.702334 3.248296 5.704053
2026-01-18 0.000258 0.034101 0.215502 0.723502 1.756782 3.474444 6.260638
2026-01-25 0.000013 0.024948 0.198073 0.727527 1.851580 3.766753 6.924451
2026-02-01 NaN 0.015754 0.170745 0.699914 1.881801 3.953353 7.432404
2026-02-08 NaN 0.012681 0.167740 0.732636 2.030808 4.341814 8.261873
2026-02-15 NaN 0.008577 0.153935 0.734244 2.120387 4.639446 8.968638
2026-02-22 NaN 0.007499 0.158533 0.789542 2.325030 5.142805 10.015033
2026-03-01 NaN 0.005825 0.155964 0.823000 2.486349 5.577691 10.965286
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003940 0.146928 0.834126 2.600447 5.934235 11.799958
2026-03-15 NaN 0.002149 0.131364 0.819252 2.655658 6.188014 12.475349
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001343 0.124844 0.833299 2.775766 6.561372 13.352940
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000702 0.115641 0.834639 2.866096 6.882917 14.152056
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000217 0.100302 0.806660 2.884539 7.072332 14.736996
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000043 0.088086 0.786030 2.917483 7.288418 15.369895
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000007 0.082097 0.790346 3.011473 7.621700 16.205566
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.070142 0.761099 3.017722 7.787393 16.761162